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10 biggest world threats of 2024, ranked | Ian Bremmer

Big Think | September 13, 2025



The United States is the biggest risk in 2024. Here are the other 9, explained by Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media.

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Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, has been delivering his insightful Top Risks Report for 15 years. The primary objective? To systematically outline how we should approach the world’s most significant threats and opportunities in any given year.

Bremmer’s Top Risks report stands in stark contrast to the clickbait and anger-inducing algorithmic news dominating social platforms. Rather than succumbing to sensationalism, the report serves as a rallying point for professionals and the wider public to focus on what truly matters for global success. It navigates the realm of reality, steering away from ideology and personal biases.

As we navigate the complexities of 2024, Bremmer says we find ourselves “in the teeth of a geopolitical recession, facing major wars and confrontations with no prospects for an effective response, containment, or useful diplomacy.” Here, Bremmer presents his top 10 risks demanding our attention and preparation in the year 2024.

00:00 Introduction
00:28 Why a Top Risks report?
01:31 2024 is a geopolitical recession
03:45 #10 Risky business
05:07 #9 El Niño is back
07:03 #8 No room for error
09:05 #7 The fight for critical minerals
11:23 #6 No China recovery
12:52 #5 The axis of rouges
15:50 #4 Ungoverned AI
18:53 #3 Partitioned Ukraine
21:34 #2 Middle East on the brink
24:53 #1 The US vs. itself
28:55 The case for optimism in 2024

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About Ian Bremmer:

Ian Bremmer is president of GZERO Media and Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk research and consulting firm started in 1998. Today, the company has offices in New York, Washington, and London, as well as a network of experts and resources around the world. Bremmer has authored several books, including the national bestseller The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations?

More on Eurasia Group ►https://www.eurasiagroup.net/
More on GZERO Media ► https://www.gzeromedia.com/

Written by Big Think

Comments

This post currently has 21 comments.

  1. @Tubing-e4e

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    i appreciate you posting these thoughts for people to reflect on. Your eloqution is clear and well reasoned which ended up to equating to, well, being correct.

  2. @SkilletSkillet-i5w

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    Christians intolerant of other religions are stalking me, maiming me, using electronic surveillance and intercepting my coms to my son. I haven't been able to talk to him for 11 months. They are injecting me w/shingles pox on my face and injecting me w/artificial fat and saline & water. They injected my hip & nose so bad it They split open.they push lies to Healthcare pros to refuse to treat me.the BRICS R USING THESE CRIMES VS HUMANITY & FAILURE TO A KNOWLEDGE MY BILL OF RIGHTS TO EXPAND BRICS AND EMBARGO USA FIR CHURCH CRIMES VS HUMANITY.THEY WILL CRUSH US.

  3. @hulu4567

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    Another big piece to the rough states is that to the outside world, the U.S. and Israel are seen as the terrorists states. And they are also correct. But we in the U.S. don't see that because the media is censoring the terrorist acts the U.S. and Israel are committing around the world.

  4. @jeremy5305

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    Funny you had a negative view when you clammed trump and his “right wing media” but no mention of the democratic media’s manipulation machine and their blatant lies. You mention how trump will use lawfare, look who’s actually using it. Saying trumps closing of the border will lead to negatives for Muslims, disregarding the effects it has on its own people.
    All while not mentioning the REAL threats to democracy such as importing millions to swing states for more seats in the house of representatives and allowing fast path to citizenship with incentives to vote democrat due to giving the outrageous amount of money and benefits (knowing these states are already struggling) all at the taxpayers expense, leading to a one party country. Attempts to get rid of free speech and only allow what they deem necessary. The democratic parties attempts to make knowing the true outcomes of elections harder (such as poll watching restrictions, ballot harvesting, being against voter ID).
    You clearly don’t lack critical thinking so you had a goal by picking and choosing the facts to share and how you presented them. Lost so much credibility 👎

  5. @АндрейГамбур

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    Our present time feels like a chapter in detective-thriller book and when you turn another day-page you ask only one question "Okay, what is next?" And with every next page, plot of this book becomes more and more interesting 🙃

  6. @77papermoon

    September 13, 2025 at 3:41 pm

    The biggest risk is the US becoming another socialist country with Kamala and Walz. No socialist country has ever been successful and the US will become the next failed nation as a result. Trump is the only one who can prevent the further decline into socialism and the loss of freedom in the US. Yes, there is a great political divide in this country.

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