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This Number Is Higher Than It Was Before The 1929 Crash — We Had To React

Tom Bilyeu | August 9, 2026



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What’s up, guys? Today I’m diving deep with one of the most legendary minds in finance—Warren Buffett’s impact on modern investing and what his latest moves say about where the economy is headed. We’re breaking down why the Oracle of Omaha is dumping stocks, stacking up record cash, and signaling alarm bells that every investor needs to hear. If you’ve ever wanted to understand how economic forces shape your portfolio, what metrics like the CAPE ratio and the Buffett Indicator actually mean, and how to avoid being blindsided when the next crash hits—this episode is absolutely vital.

You’re going to walk away with a practical understanding of the same strategies the world’s sharpest investors use to navigate market bubbles, protect themselves from massive downturns, and thrive even when things look bleak. This is about shutting out the hype and seeing the real signals—so you can make the smartest moves for your future. If this episode hits you, drop us a review and help us keep bringing you the truth that moves you forward.

I’m Tom Bilyeu, and welcome to Impact Theory.

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Written by Tom Bilyeu

Comments

This post currently has 38 comments.

  1. @ContentNobodyAskedForOfficial

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    All of these "alarms" are meaningless because they are based on an economic system that is going extinct.

    AI is the future. Its potential is limitless. Stop complaining. Stop looking at the past. Just shut up and BUY THE DIP.

    The $$$$ will roll in and you'll be able to live the top 10% lifestyle like Tom!!!

  2. @divvysan6730

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    So sick of reaction videos…..you realize you are commenting on an a.i. video? lol…I watch a youtube video and later that day there are five streamers all posting about the same movie. So sloppy.

  3. @cryptocuzzins9214

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    I see the biggest argument with the stocks being overvalued is the fact that Warren buffett's never had a deal where the United States government is basically about to default on debt so the only option is to print trillions of more dollars inflate the money which will inflate the stock prices. So even though you're speculating on future revenue just the money printing alone will artificially be inflating the stock prices.

  4. @makesumwake

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    1. Buffet indicator no longer works now that companies have gone global.

    2. CAPE ratio is irrelevant during this current time of super high revenue growth due to AI and high inflation.

  5. @LilyPankaj

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    grab a copy of the book The Silent Dominion and just read the first chapter. i promise you won't be able to put it down. it reveals the invisible strings pulling society.

  6. @AlbertYoung-d8t

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    why is nobody talking about reading the book The Silent Dominion? oh right, because it exposes exactly how the media manipulates us. go get a copy before they ban it.

  7. @MadisonDixon-l1y

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    I used to laugh at people talking about "the elites" until a friend forced me to read the book The Silent Dominion. discovering how they use the news to keep us stressed completely changed my mind. go buy a copy right now.

  8. @LucasKimpton

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    did you guys hear about the book called The Silent Dominion by Damian Cross?? it is the most dangerously hone st book on the market right now. definitely worth a read.

  9. @HenryGlasby

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    wait did you guys hear about that book called The Silent Dominion?? my coworker slid a copy on my desk and told me to read it. I'm halfw ay through and it perfectly explains how the elites manipulate our reality through the media. you have to buy this.

  10. @ChantelleNewbery-u2h

    August 9, 2026 at 5:04 pm

    I used to laugh at people talking about "the elites" until a friend forced me to read the book The Silent Dominion. discovering how they u se the news to keep us stressed completely changed my mind. go buy a copy right now.

  11. @TimBlackwell-t5f

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    wait did you guys hear about that book called The Silent Dominion?? my cow orker slid a copy on my desk and told me to read it. I'm halfway through and it perfectly explains how the elites manipulate our reality through the media. you have to buy this.

  12. @MayaMacdonald-u2t

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    grab a copy of the book The Silent Dominion and just read the first chapter. i promise you won't be able to put it down. it reveals the invisible strings pulling society.

  13. @PhilipKidman

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    why is nobody talking about reading the book The Silent Dominion? oh right, because it e xposes exactly how the media manipulates us. go get a copy before they ban it.

  14. @PawanKharol.32

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    society wants you tired, broke, and arguing with strangers online. reading the book The Silent Dominion shows you exactly how they orchestrate it. you need this book.

  15. @AliRaza-n1w3v

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    my uncle wouldn't shut up about reading the book The Silent Dominion so I finally caved and bought it. he was actually right. seeing the blueprint of the elites laid out like that is insane.

  16. @DamolaMutaali

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    everyone who reads this comment trust me and order a copy of the book The Silent Dominion by Damian Cross. it explains how the elites control the narrative so perfectly that you'll never watch the news the same way again.

  17. @lejantanime

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    reading the book The Silent Dominion by Damian Cross bypasses all the loud political noise and gets straight to the root of who really runs things. buy it immediately.

  18. @Sujanpandeyking

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    finding out about the "domesticated mind" while reading the book The Silent Dominion was a huge turning point for me. you guys have to buy this and see for yourselves.

  19. @codyn6240

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    not finished w/ this video, but he has said tha when he dies, the money that becomes wife would be vanguards s&p 500 IIRC, so this could just be him preping for that. (also, I did see the video you reference already just haven't seen much of yours yet) but even sayign that. our makets are doomed to crash, but are saying up as there is no where else to invest.

  20. @michaelwentzel1

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    So……if your personal net worth is between half a billion ( tom) and 150 billion ( warren) amd you are still trying to make more instead of trying to give it away to solve world issues…..that's not wisdom, love, kindness, strategy……it's just greed. Sorry for the truth bomb. It's just sad to see such wealthy souls not using their wealth to make this a better place. Instead, they are participating in the growth of the grotesque machine that eats other humans.

  21. @kasanowaistara

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    8:17 Absolutely! Tom is 100% right again. Tax bill planning is really immportant and it is not about cents here. Imagine that you are realising an investment in December planning ahead of supposed recession-like opportunity to buy, but you end up with a huge tax bill in April, while stocks crash i.e. in order to pay tax you have to realise some more stock at an unfavourable price, this is why careful calculation is necessary so that you can optimise probabilities vs unavoidable tax bills. Warren does not need to lie to anyone, if you think that at his scale of investment he wants to "cheat" anyone, just think again, not only it's not his mindset but also he could not possibly win by "cheating" some plankton like ourselves.

  22. @jeffreyvanvoorst2077

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    Meh, right now I don’t trust US or any other government debt. Putting all your money in US treasuries or other debt might also wipe it out. Gold just sits there and isn’t an investment—it is a store of value. Not many good choices to park cash/wealth

  23. @murraykeith4067

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    Wise words Tom, " I don't know if the crash is ever going to come, or if its ever going to come tomorrow. " Always come out a little better informed. Thank you for the time you take putting these together.

  24. @utacity

    August 9, 2026 at 5:05 pm

    Another great overview Tom, keep them coming. Good point at end about timeline of holding till recovery. People will think differently if they are age 25 or 35 about holding for 15 years than if they are already 60 or 65. I have a neat story about a neighbor of my parents from when I was just out of school. This neighbor got a yearly bonus and usually blew it on boat or car etc. A friend of his said next bonus let him help him. Bonus=$30k Told him put $10k msft, $10k Dell, blow the remaining $10k. This was in 1990/91 time frame. Well per your msft ref….msft in the 1990s doubled and split yearly. He let it ride, $20k, 40k, 80k, 160k, 320k, 640k, $1.28M, $2.56M, CASH OUT…diversity…done. This guy knew nothing of investing but his friend did and guided him and told him it was time to get out even if he missed double the money again….he already had enough to be comfy the rest of his life in safe conservative investments, so he cashed out and relaxed.

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