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Dan Carlin: What happens when a nation’s truth splinters into 1,000 versions | Kmele Foster

Big Think | July 9, 2026



Read Dan Carlin, in print. An excerpt from this interview is in ‘The Opt-Out Nation’ — our quarterly magazine just for Big Think members: https://bigthink.com/membership/

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Dan Carlin has spent decades explaining history’s collapses. Now he’s watching one happen in real time. In conversation with Kmele Foster, Carlin unpacks the state of societal collapse, the erosion of our nation’s shared truth, and the sharp comparison between the 80’s’ Xeroxed flyers on windshields and the present day flooding of information.

He explains why the Constitution was designed to prevent tyranny, not efficiency, how that tradeoff is finally being tested, and why Congress’s refusal to declare war for decades has altered the rules of executive power.

0:00 10,000 realities, zero shared facts
2:35 Today’s chaos was seeded 50 years ago
6:17 How the internet killed the gatekeepers
8:45 Bury the truth in a pile of garbage
12:05 Can society build an immune system for lies?
17:48 Congress chose to go powerless
31:15 Trump dropped the pretending
39:15 Every movement creates its own backlash
1:11:42 Stop calling AI a product when it’s a weapon

Read the video transcript ► https://bigthink.com/series/full-interview/dan-carlin-myth-of-shared-reality/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=youtube_description

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About Kmele Foster:

Kmele Foster is a media entrepreneur, commentator, and regular contributor to various national publications. He is the co-founder and co-host of The Fifth Column, a popular media criticism podcast, and a partner at Freethink, a digital media company focused on the people and ideas changing our world.

Kmele also serves on the Board of Directors of the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression (FIRE).

About Dan Carlin:

Veteran journalist Dan Carlin’s Generation X, non-partisan, “neo-prudentist” outlook provides a fresh look at the headlines in the newspapers and the stories in the history books.

His two podcasts, “Hardcore History” and “Common Sense” are two of the leading independent podcasts in their respective genres. Both productions feature Carlin’s unique, contradictory broadcast style.

Written by Big Think

Comments

This post currently has 15 comments.

  1. @AbdulHadi-z6w9r

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    I'm not gonna pretend I had it all figured out, because I didn't. Manifesting felt like failing for years. I'd try, get nowhere, tell myself I'd get it next time, and then nothing again. It got to the point where I figured maybe some people just aren't wired for it and I was one of them. Then I took Vera Hart's quiz, kind of as a last thing to try. And it hit something. My archetype just fit, in a way that made me go oh. No fireworks, no life suddenly fixed. But for the first time I had direction instead of just fumbling in the dark hoping something would stick. If you're struggling with it too, honestly, do the quiz. Its free anyway.

  2. @HiddenPattern_01

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    What a deeply insightful conversation between Kmele Foster and Dan Carlin. They brilliantly unpack the epistemic fragmentation of our time, offering not just observations but a psychologically grounded explanation of our collective cognitive dissonance.

    Carlin's historical perspective reminds us that today's anxieties didn't begin with social media—they've been building for decades. Combined with Gurri's Revolt of the Public, the discussion shows how the collapse of institutional trust reflects a deeper psychological shift: the loss of a shared societal narrative.

    I especially appreciated the discussion of the "Glorious Past" fallacy. Our tendency to romanticize the past often keeps us from confronting the complex realities of change. The call for "cultural antibodies" against AI-driven misinformation is more than practical advice—it's a compelling case for building cognitive resilience in the 21st century.

    This podcast provides a valuable framework for understanding both the world around us and our own responses to it. If these ideas resonate with you, I will be diving deeper into some hidden Pattern, you may want to tune in.

  3. @bytheriverandthesea

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    The problem is not a splintering truth, that is actual rather normal. Each class, gender, social group etc. has its own way of experiencing "the nation". What kind of conversation did a black southern slave, an immigrant Irishman in New York, an old stock upper class Englishman from Boston and a German farmer in Pennsylvania have about the nation? Not to forget the odd Indian that survived.

    The problem of America was often that it wants to force feed people with the one true reality. This exceptional America, best country in the world for the average white, protestant suburbia American who believes in the dream and capitalism. The patriot who loves his country and has the flag proudly in the front yard of his own home. Probably a baseball fan too or something. That's the kind of stuff that puts critical thinking on the list of endangered activities. Might even get dangerous when the red scare comes around.

    The problem the world has with America is that as a nation it seems you've lost the grip on reality itself. Why do that? Looks like mostly out of fear you'll lose this picture of the one perfect America you want to be but never were. The good guys, rightly leaders of the free world. The great America. America was never great, but it always aspired to become better somehow, to become good and decent even when it wasn't. So this new America would like to have Greenland and build some new casinos in Cuba? Fine, but then you're truly no longer exceptional. Just another run of the mill imperialist empire that bullies its way around the globe. Take the view from the outside for once. Seen from there the USA is pretty much one single version of itself and it isn't a pretty one. It's the truth though, so there's that – you're welcome.

  4. @tomobedlam297

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    Most people are too lazy to think for themselves. They prefer to gravitate to a tribe that has the same views their upbringing has preloaded them with.

  5. @hootie017

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    Dan Carlin is an incredible political mind. He had his peak many many years ago and it’s sad he’s not putting things out like he used to. The world genuinely needs him.

  6. @TheAlchemistZero1

    July 9, 2026 at 7:53 pm

    Finite Nature vs Infinite Nature:

    Everything naturally occurring is Nature, which includes plants, microorganisms, humans (all lifeforms), atoms, energy, stars, planets, black holes, cancer, AIDS, space, Dreams, and Consciousness. 

    (Why would Nature be finite?)

    Without Infinity, there is only infinite regress; E.g. String Theory: what caused the strings, where did the strings come from, what came before the strings; E.g. The Big Bang: what caused the initial singularity, what came before the initial singularity, etc. Considering "Nothingness" is an obvious fallacy, there must always be Something. 

    Prove Nothingness, while keeping in mind: Nothingness can only be "proven" in the absence of an observer. If described (observed) by an observer, Nothing becomes something (think hard about this). This would also connote a field of infinite Nothingness randomly formed a spec (our Universe) of somethingness – which is nonsensical.

    Provisional science cannot claim authority over reality, at best it can only provide fuzzy hints. Science is a game of "let’s pretend," played with symbols and sensors. Its power lies in utility, not truth. To mistake physics/maths for reality is to worship the finger pointing at the moon.

    Our cosmological sciences are akin to a microorganism residing within a human (on Earth), actively exploring the Andromeda galaxy. Our nearly insignificant signals bouncing off of fragments of Infinity – the margins for error are "astronomical".

    "So far as the theories of mathematics are about reality, they are not certain; and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to reality" – Albert Einstein

    Why would Nature form brains/minds to exhibit consciousness other than to experience reality; considering experiencing reality is the objective of consciousness?

    It connotes conscious intent, via consciousness (Nature).

    Consciousness/Experiences:

    Disneyland (Reality) – Patrons (Consciousness) = Nothingness = Fallacy.

    Instead, we Patrons (Nature) are the architects of our own theater called Reality.

    All life exists for the sake of experiences (regardless of good/bad).

    A thought experiment:

    On a plain sheet of paper, draw a single dot (.) in the very center.
     
    The paper represents infinite space. Everything beyond the boundaries of the sheet also represents endless (empty) space.

    The dot represents 'The Big Bang'.
    Everything humanity is aware of – exists within the dot (our currently expanding universe).

    If the observers of this singular dot, zoom far enough away – the dot will cease to exist. The dot will be extinguished through expansion/evaporation – wholly consumed by an infinite void (due to cosmic scales/distances). This would prohibit existence from 'being'. (Yet here we are).

    Furthermore this would connote The Big Bang occurred at random, within an infinite void of nothingness – suggesting 'somethingness from nothingness' – which is a fallacy.

    Without considering potential forces being exerted upon our reality/universe (from beyond the boundaries of our observations) – is an incomplete interpretation.

    Clearly the remainder of the sheet of paper cannot be an infinite void.

    The expansion of our universe is accelerating. If our cosmic expansion were occurring within a void, our reality would have concluded before it began (poof). (Yet here we are).

    If we are a facet of Infinity – we are Infinity. Along with everything being intimated.

    Instead imagine the sheet and everything beyond – riddled with infinite dots.
     
    Every universe is a particle, every particle is a universe.

    (Infinity is self-propagating).
               
    Thus Infinity is a superdeterministic preexisting condition.

    Infinity being absolute simultaneity.

    Expresses infinite probabilities – Deterministically.

    Every reality.

    Every life.

    Is an intended narrative.

    (The largest cannot exist without the smallest)

    Although our universe is finite (as evidenced by expansion).
     
    Infinity exists at a fixed maximal size, without borders/boundaries: Infinity is forever in every sense, within which infinite universes/realities are housed – each a distinct experience.

    (Infinity > Multi)

    Infinity accounts for every variation, including variations in thoughts.

    Reality is an infinite fractal consciousness; whereby all realities, every possibility, along with every imaginable and unimaginable thing, is a fragment of said consciousness – which we refer to as Nature. 

    We are Nature. 

    We are "God" (figurative); fragmented into infinite experiences. 

    An Infinity without borders or constraints; with infinite energy.

    We are all the same entity; existing for the sake of experiences. 

    Death Demystified'.

    In order to fully grasp the nature of Death; it is important that we understand Life.

    Reality is an infinite fractal consciousness; whereby all realities, every possibility, along with every imaginable and unimaginable thing, is a fragment of said consciousness – which we refer to as Nature.

    We are Nature.

    We are "God" (figurative); fragmented into infinite experiences.

    An Infinity without borders or constraints; with infinite energy…

    We are all the same entity; existing for the sake of experiences.

    Scenario:

    Individual A is hit by a car, witnesses B, C, and D are present.

    With the following occurring in simultaneity…

    Individual A(1) leaps up, unharmed – (it's a miracle), witnesses B(1), C(1), and D(1) disperse.

    Individual A(1) carries on with their life… (to be continued).

    Individual A(2) dies on impact, witnesses B(2), C(2), and D(2) recant the details.

    With both scenarios, factor the ensuing ramifications on everyone/everything involved, along with the subsequent entanglements (Butterfly Effect).  

    Through each Death endured, Individual A(1-♾) experiences (gradually increasing) fantastic shifts in their personal narrative. Eventually leading to divergent experiences (kidnapped by aliens). These fragmented experiences overlap with all local (Earth) conscious narratives.

    Once an extreme apex has been achieved, reality resets for individual A, a randomized narrative starts anew… Corporeal Birth (simplification).

    Why do some individuals miraculously survive extreme situations?

    Why are some humans living caricatures?

    The Meaning of Life:

    Imagine an endless clear glass tube (representative of Time), within which exists a diorama of life on Earth. The left most section depicting our earliest single-celled ancestors (3.5 billion years ago), leading through our present and into a future yet to be experienced (farthest right).

    Notice the tube (Time) and the diorama of life displayed within – exists Simultaneously; Past, Present, and Future all occurring concurrently. Every life form within the history of existence, an interconnected narrative: as 'Futures' cannot exist without Past events.

    Similarly to reading a book, we can only examine moments of our lives which had already transpired (Past), those pages yet read (Future) remain uncertain until experienced (no cosmic spoilers). We can only surmise possible outcomes based on prior events (pages read), although never guaranteeing accuracy of predicting Future events.

    Without the existence of Conscious experiences, there would be Nothingness. Life experiences, Experiences, simply for the sake of experiencing – which is why Life chronically craves varieties of stimuli.

    Our corporeal forms are assigned avatars, which allows Consciousness to experience material reality.

    Works of fiction (books, cinema, video games, etc.), allows individuals to experience an extended Consciousness, whereby our emotional states carry-over into fictional narratives (frustration, anger, joy, elation…). All of this, despite understanding such events are merely virtual (occurring within said individuals imaginations).

    Books are experienced in chronological order instead of a randomized order; in order to maintain a cohesive narrative flow.  Within fictional works, every character arc has their entire fate sealed; from inception to demise – luck/chance has already been decided throughout.

    This is also why every Life is experienced through a predetermined progression. Reality is a sensory experience, simply for the sake of experiencing a physical Life.

    Regarding Panpsychism: 

    Have you ever dreamed a contemporary dream, one within a major city, buzzing with people? Although the entire dream is constructed from your consciousness, not all objects within are imbued with conscious experiences – only the observable lifeforms are. The buildings, streets, signs, cars, and all inanimate things are purely decorative. Inanimate objects (minerals) provided by reality are not conscious. People attend plays to watch living artists perform, the stage and props are not the stars.

    Time: 

    A seemingly endless cadence of day/night cycles, conducted over the course of the Human epoch. Untold billions of Homo Sapiens Sapiens; generation after generation – conditioned by Nature to accept finality. The circadian rhythm, an innate mechanism, a constant reminder; consciousness an ephemeral experience, fleeting with every moment, through every exhalation. Selene a blanket of night, engulfing all into her dreamy embrace – the analog of Stella, raining rays of warmth, nourishing existence into being; beckoning the vivacity of life to stir yet again. 

    Day into night, night into day – a rhythm to remind us that none of Natures constructs are created without an expiry. Whether measured by 6.62607004 × 10-34 m2 kg / s; or by a Supereon, we are cascading energies, propagating our collective experiences – vainly attempting to elicit a sense of ‘self’ in hopes of staving off oblivion. Not realizing that the only allowable paradox to exist, is existence; a lucid dream conducted by the everlasting artistry of Gaia. 

    Time.

    the Alchemist 

    -Ø1

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