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BREAKING: Talarico AHEAD in Texas | And Democrats Could Take Back the Senate

The TEC Show | June 11, 2026



New Texas Senate polling shows Talarico leading or tied with Ken Paxton in four consecutive surveys, with Paxton’s 52% unfavorable rating and cost-of-living concerns ranked critical by 98% of voters raising serious questions about Republican Senate control in 2026.

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⏱️ Chapters:
0:00 Intro
2:05 The Shock Poll: Talarico’s Lead Revealed
4:30 Paxton’s Unfavorable Ratings Breakdown
6:45 Cost-of-Living & Voter Priorities
9:00 Senate Map Implications
11:00 What This Means for 2026

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Written by The TEC Show

Comments

This post currently has 42 comments.

  1. @TheTECShow

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    Four recent Texas Senate polls now show Talarico either leading or tied with Paxton — a clear shift from earlier this year when Paxton held the advantage. Paxton's favorability is underwater by 18 points (34% favorable / 52% unfavorable), while Talarico is net-positive. If Democrats hold Georgia, Michigan, and New Hampshire and pick up Ohio and Alaska, flipping Texas would give them Senate control outright.

    What matters more to you in this race: the polling trend, or the fact that the Texas generic ballot still favors Republicans 49–43?

  2. @garaf1246

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    Texas, where cows and guns have more rights than women. Where minorities are the majority, yet they are governed by a very strong legislative majority white. 44% of voters feel things are going on the right direction. Beto gave me hope. Talarico gives me wings. But reality is a cement block tied to my feet. 🙄🙄

  3. @urantiahub

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    A corrupter select another corrupter, and if people still agree, what's wrong with you Americans? Do you want to lengthen world problem? Costs are up around the world.

  4. @3467AAA

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    The Democratic Party shouldn’t put their eggs on TX. TX and FL always always vote against their own interests in the end. Unless Talarico has an 8% advantage, dems are losing.

  5. @castaway3265

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    Please do not count Fetterman in your Dem tallies. If Republicans only get 50 Senate seats, Fetterman will switch to Republican. They are already courting him actively to switch sides and he has no integrity so he will
    likely do it.

  6. @mygetawayart

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    The only way i see Dems winning Texas but losing Ohio, Iowa and Michigan is if the GOP completely abandons Paxton, decides that race is too expensive to defend and they'd rather defend smaller but less contentious seats. If they do decide to back Paxton, and they still lose Texas, then i don't see a way in which the GOP only loses Texas. If Texas goes, so will Ohio, so will Michigan, so will Alaska, Iowa and maybe even Nebraska.

  7. @LuxembourgtBonbon

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    Believed or not this med term is a greater opportunity again for Democrat and Independent candidates , but lightly light when it comes to Republicans ! . To me that’s could be a great victory James Talarico , believed or not the future Senator Talarico could be become either a fever favorite for President too , same things like Borack Hussein Obama , or even better than . One ❤❤❤ 💗 💕 💕 💕 love guy . Full stop ✋ 🛑 ! . .

  8. @FranciscoBirrueta

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    People in Texas please open your eyes ? Look on this unhinch maga Trump he is an idiot he doesn't care our country he says he cares Iran and netanyahu if you have a hard time to pay your food he doesn't care what he does is sleeping looking on him please invock the 25 th how can a president of us can say you are dumb pig and tugs the is an stupid look how our country is heading economy inflation gasoline prices taxes tariffs Iran war talarico has to focus on economy inflation how he can do better for you please vote 🔵🔵🔵

  9. @CMcGee-i5r

    June 11, 2026 at 11:24 am

    I like your commentary. Pretty sober most of the time. It would be nice to see you look beyond just the polls and crosstabs and betting markets, like maybe campaign strategies the various candidates are running, and whether it seems to be working for them or not. Maybe even the type of press that they're working against from opposite leaning "news" outlets

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