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OpenAI Might Be In Big Trouble…

TheAIGRID | September 8, 2025



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00:00 Intro
00:24 Satya Nadella on AGI Definition
00:48 Cognitive Labor and AGI
02:09 Dynamic Nature of AGI
02:32 Sam Altman’s AGI Perspective
03:11 Nadella on AGI and Economic Growth
04:04 Real-world Value vs Benchmark Hacking
06:01 AI Infrastructure Investment Risks
06:14 Supply and Demand in AI
07:08 OpenAI’s AGI Levels Explained
08:02 CEO Predictions on AGI Timeline
09:17 Andrew Ng’s View on AGI Timelines
10:13 AGI Complexity Explained
13:14 Missing Components for AGI
14:24 Comparing Human and AI Intelligence
16:06 Narrow AI vs. AGI
17:04 OpenAI’s Superintelligence Goals
18:20 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Links From Todays Video:
https://x.com/ns123abc/status/1895900960519831576
https://x.com/paul_cal/status/1891896917161906204
https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1iqjmng/warning_about_perplexity_ai_deep_research_it/
https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/1895459347750404412
https://siliconreckoner.substack.com/p/the-frontier-math-scandal

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Music Used

LEMMiNO – Cipher
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b0q5PR1xpA0
CC BY-SA 4.0
LEMMiNO – Encounters
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdwWCl_5x2s

#LLM #Largelanguagemodel #chatgpt
#AI
#ArtificialIntelligence
#MachineLearning
#DeepLearning
#NeuralNetworks
#Robotics
#DataScience

Written by TheAIGRID

Comments

This post currently has 27 comments.

  1. @SweetSQM

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    Yes, OpenAI is already dead! None of their models are as good, useful, accurate, and the list goes on and on, they just are not in the game anymore! Grok 3 killed OpenAI! DeepSeek killed OpenAI!

  2. @Laurie-si7mp

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    I prefer deepseek as something you dont have to pay for and is faster is awesome and the very best thing is i don't have to pay for it 😂😂😂😂 America is just trying to control people with it by tokenizing it

  3. @deeplearning7097

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    I fervently hope that the hype is dying. OpenAI are guiltier than most of some extraordinary bluster and rather tall tales. This current path won't lead to AGI, nor to consciousness, but they are still remarkable tools which add enormous value and capability.
    $20k per month for a PhD level AI assistant? Shows what you think of PhD types!

  4. @JasonMazzulla

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    You know I'm not a big computer AI guy. But as these things get more and more 'intelligent' whatever the hell that is defined by, its capabilities will feel more and more vague, because it won't be recognizable even to the brightest people. How is this an unknown?
    If these neural networks are truly getting smarter and smarter in terms of magnitudes, we're not going to notice.. the obvious is that human beings will become poor and poor software in relation to the software.

  5. @Matt-bd4dj

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    Totally agree they screwed up. They were def talking about Gpr 5 within a short period of time and then pulled out. They were on a gravy train then Deep Seek came along.

  6. @blijebij

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    Nah I think its unlogic OpenAi is in trouble at all, if you wanne come out compettitive it is very logic, specially as a pioneer you have several irons in the fire. This was just a lesser model. One that gave them a lot of experience&knowledge what to evade in next models.

  7. @hypertectonics7009

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    They need architectural improvements not just scaling. Anyway OpenAI cannot survive if Chinese labs and others keep releasing open source models. Nobody wants to feed another big tech monopoly. Since there is no moat, people will immediately flock to cheaper alternatives.

    Hallucinations could be managed with multiple models checking each other, of course this would multiply the cost, but compute cost is expected to go down, so it's not a total showstopper.

  8. @Rbyn

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    The world will be a safer place when people stop giving Sam Altman money, including everyone who subscribes to them, and OpenAI fails

  9. @Travestyalpha

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    I felt the difference between GPT 3.0 and 3.5 wasnt' huge either. I was using 3.0 for several months prior to chatgpt and they both – for the most part – felt the same. I wasn't even convinced there was a different before they announced it was 3.5. So for those who hype everything up in their minds – We are over expecting – mostly because the competitive space has become intense. A good thing really – it why the progress has come so fast. No one really knows if we will achieve AGI anytime soon. I figure they will have to try new ideas to get there.

  10. @shorgoth

    September 8, 2025 at 5:23 am

    I used AI EXTENSIVELY, I'm a cyberpunk writer and I use AI not to write my stuff but to use as a feedback beta reader to hone my ideas. I haven't tried 4.5 but one thing I can say is that using a few random questions is not how LLMS should be tested today. I noticed through the use of Gemini 2.0 thinking experimental that the real differentiation of LLMs is after 80k or so words context window ABOUT THE SAME SUBJECT. If you start talking about different things with the model you will generate more and more hallucinations but if you focus and hone the subject using converging ideas you will start getting more intersting output up until around 180k tokens for Gemini (at least for my novel, it start going raving mad due to the fractal nature of my novel if your subject doesn't have self recursive loops implying existential questions about the nature of consciousness and the meaing of existence… my subject might be a bit heady for a LLM…) So yeah, I don't put much credance in a simple 5 question, it only shows surface level thinking, not deep reasoning or linguistic/symbolic capabilities.

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